Abstract

Chikungunya, a re-emerging arbovirus transmitted to humans by Aedes aegypti and Ae. albopictus mosquitoes, causes debilitating disease characterized by an acute febrile phase and chronic joint pain. Chikungunya has recently spread to the island of St. Martin and subsequently throughout the Americas. The disease is now affecting 42 countries and territories throughout the Americas. While chikungunya is mainly a tropical disease, the recent introduction and subsequent spread of Ae. albopictus into temperate regions has increased the threat of chikungunya outbreaks beyond the tropics. Given that there are currently no vaccines or treatments for chikungunya, vector control remains the primary measure to curtail transmission. To investigate the effectiveness of a containment strategy that combines disease surveillance, localized vector control and transmission reduction measures, we developed a model of chikungunya transmission dynamics within a large residential neighborhood, explicitly accounting for human and mosquito movement. Our findings indicate that prompt targeted vector control efforts combined with measures to reduce transmission from symptomatic cases to mosquitoes may be highly effective approaches for controlling outbreaks of chikungunya, provided that sufficient detection of chikungunya cases can be achieved.

Highlights

  • Biting rate of humans by a female mosquito βh Transmission rate from human to mosquito per bite βv Transmission rate from mosquito to human per bite

  • We evaluated the effectiveness of a reactive perifocal vector control strategy for curtailing chikungunya, which consists of insecticide spraying in perimeter radius around houses with infected individuals, as well as indoor residual spraying

  • We found that perifocal vector control has the potential to be effective for curtailing the spread of a chikungunya outbreak

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Summary

Introduction

Biting rate of humans by a female mosquito βh Transmission rate from human to mosquito per bite βv Transmission rate from mosquito to human per bite. We parameterized the model using epidemiological, entomological, clinical, and human movement data. For both Ae. aegypti and Ae. albopictus, we evaluated the effectiveness of intervention strategies for mitigating the spread of a chikungunya outbreak. We found perifocal mosquito control targeting residences of infected individuals to be essential in reducing mosquito infection, while effective transmission reduction measures of patients after diagnosis should prevent further infection. Implemented together, these interventions can substantially reduce the attack rate of chikungunya and contain outbreaks

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