Evaluating Soil Conservation Effectiveness: An Investigation of Spatial Targeting, Conservation Adoption, and Financial Incentives

Abstract

ABSTRACTIdentifying and treating erosion‐prone, critical source areas (CSA) presents the opportunity to effectively address erosion at a watershed scale. Social and financial drivers of conservation adoption, however have buffered implementation. An integrated systems understanding is needed to identify internal feedbacks and potential synergistic conservation policies. We simulate the physical, social, and financial incentive interactions with a high‐level system dynamics model to understand the conservation adoption and subsequent erosion behavior of the system. A Bass diffusion model integrated with physical modeling results enables the simulation of CSA, the diffusion of innovations, and payment for conservation practices. Land retirement and tillage reduction best management practices are assessed for the dryland wheat farming region in the Inland Pacific Northwest of the United States. Model utility was confirmed with quantitative land management data and qualitative local expertise. Historical, voluntary‐based efforts to reduce erosion suffer marginal returns. We conclude that: (1) All targeting of CSA reduces long‐term erosion rates; (2) The most effective use of conservation funds, however, occurs when the diffusion of innovation mechanism is reinforced by broad‐scale payments for tillage reduction; and (3) By identifying and utilizing positive feedback, our simulations suggest large gains in erosion reduction and conservation fund efficiency are possible.