Evaluating inverse modeling methods for measurement and verification of chiller energy efficiency measures

Abstract

A commonly budget and time constrained yet crucial measurement and verification process for chiller energy efficiency measures often requires rarely trended chiller performance data for the pre-retrofit or post-retrofit chiller necessitating chiller modeling for year-round performance prediction. This study evaluates chiller inverse modeling methods for measurement and verification applications. Variable speed drive-controlled centrifugal chillers operating in a hot and humid climate are used as case studies. Two scenarios are explored: one where full-range metered chiller data are available and another with limited data that requires a short-term metering process. The biquadratic black-box and Gordon-Ng with a variable entropy term models perform exceptionally well when full-range chiller performance data is available, displaying a coefficient of variation of approximately 5 % for both training and test datasets. However, in situations that use short-term metered data not covering the full range, the fundamental and Foliaco reformulated Gordon-Ng models outperform other models. These models show minimal degradation in average statistical performance when trained with one-month metering data instead of four-month data, indicating their potential to capture the year-round chiller performance variation with short-term metered data. Furthermore, the optimal metering period for an accurate modeling process is identified as one containing data from at least one shoulder month like April, May, or October for a hot and humid climate. These findings provide valuable guidance for practitioners involved in chiller efficiency measure assessments, emphasizing the significance of proper model selection and an appropriate metering period for a reliable measurement and verification process.