Evaluating ethnic variations in the risk of infections in people with prediabetes and type 2 diabetes: a matched cohort study

Abstract

<p> </p> <h3>Objective</h3> <p>People living with type 2 diabetes (T2DM) are at higher infection risk, but it is unknown how this risk varies by ethnicity, or whether the risk is similarly observed in people with non-diabetic hyperglycaemia (“prediabetes”).</p> <h3>Research Design and Methods</h3> <p>We included 527,151 patients in England with T2DM and 273,216 with prediabetes, aged 18-90 and alive on 1st January 2015 on the Clinical Practice Research Datalink. Each were matched to 2 patients without diabetes or prediabetes on age, sex and ethnic group. Infections during 2015-9 were collated from primary care and linked hospitalisation records. Infection incidence rate ratios (IRR) for prediabetes or T2DM were estimated, unadjusted and adjusted for confounders.</p> <h3>Results</h3> <p>People with T2DM had increased risk for infections presenting in primary care (IRR=1.51, 95%CI 1.51-1.52) and hospitalisations (IRR=1.91, 1.90-1.93). This was broadly consistent overall within each ethnic group, though younger White T2DM patients (age <50) experienced a greater relative risk. Adjustment for socio-economic deprivation, smoking and co-morbidity attenuated associations, but IRRs remained similar by ethnicity. For prediabetes, a significant but smaller risk was observed (primary care IRR=1.35 1.34-1.36, hospitalisation IRR=1.33, 1.31-1.35); these were similar within each ethnicity for primary care infections, but less consistent for infection related hospitalisations.</p> <h3>Conclusions</h3> <p>The elevated infection risk for people with T2DM appears similar for different ethnic groups and is also seen in people with prediabetes. Infections are a substantial cause of ill-health and health service use for people with prediabetes and T2DM. This has public health implications with rising prediabetes and diabetes prevalence. </p>