Abstract

This paper aims at outlining a conceptual framework for the analysis of European cities' potential development trajectories. It is therefore oriented towards understanding future performances – in the awareness that they may be very different, more than they have been until now. Understanding the evolutionary changes taking place in historical time in cities is a scientific aim which has been relatively little pursued, in substantive terms, in social science. The field of urban studies has a long and exceptionally rich research tradition of addressing very well-focused partial (or specific) urban imbalances. Yet the task of understanding cities’ overall development trajectories – in particular, potential development trajectories – has been rarely pursued. For this reason, this paper is primarily devoted to reviewing a set of concepts and methodological insights that may lay down the basis for modelling European cities’ potential development.

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