Etiologies and Predictors of 30-Day Readmission in Heart Failure: An Updated Analysis.

Abstract

Readmissions in heart failure (HF), historically reported as 20%, contribute to significant patient morbidity and high financial cost to the healthcare system. The changing population landscape and risk factor dynamics mandate periodic epidemiologic reassessment of HF readmissions. National Readmission Database (NRD, 2019) was used to identify HF-related hospitalizations and evaluated for demographic, admission characteristics, and comorbidity differences between patients readmitted vs. those not readmitted at 30-days. Causes of readmission and predictors of all-cause, HF-specific, and non-HF-related readmissions were analyzed. Of 48,971 HF patients, the readmitted cohort was younger (mean 67.4 vs. 68.9 years, p≤0.001), had higher proportion of males (56.3% vs. 53.7%), lowest income quartiles (33.3% vs. 28.9%), Charlson comorbidity index (CCI) ≥3 (61.7% vs. 52.8%), resource utilization including large bed-size hospitalizations, Medicaid enrollees, mean length of stay (6.2 vs. 5.4 days), and disposition to other facilities (23.9% vs. 20%) than non-readmitted. Readmission (30-day) rate was 21.2% (10,370) with cardiovascular causes in 50.3% (HF being the most common: 39%), and non-cardiac in 49.7%. Independent predictors for readmission were male sex, lower socioeconomic status, nonelective admissions, atrial fibrillation, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, chronic kidney disease, anemia, and CCI ≥3. HF-specific readmissions were significantly associated with prior coronary artery disease and Medicaid enrollment. Our analysis revealed cardiac and noncardiac causes of readmission were equally common for 30-day readmissions in HF patients with HF itself being the most common etiology highlighting the importance of addressing the comorbidities, both cardiac and non-cardiac, to mitigate the risk of readmission.