Abstract

BackgroundPatients from ethnic minority groups are disproportionately affected by Coronavirus disease (COVID-19). We performed a systematic review and meta-analysis to explore the relationship between ethnicity and clinical outcomes in COVID-19.MethodsDatabases (MEDLINE, EMBASE, PROSPERO, Cochrane library and MedRxiv) were searched up to 31st August 2020, for studies reporting COVID-19 data disaggregated by ethnicity. Outcomes were: risk of infection; intensive therapy unit (ITU) admission and death. PROSPERO ID: 180654.Findings18,728,893 patients from 50 studies were included; 26 were peer-reviewed; 42 were from the United States of America and 8 from the United Kingdom. Individuals from Black and Asian ethnicities had a higher risk of COVID-19 infection compared to White individuals. This was consistent in both the main analysis (pooled adjusted RR for Black: 2.02, 95% CI 1.67–2.44; pooled adjusted RR for Asian: 1.50, 95% CI 1.24–1.83) and sensitivity analyses examining peer-reviewed studies only (pooled adjusted RR for Black: 1.85, 95%CI: 1.46–2.35; pooled adjusted RR for Asian: 1.51, 95% CI 1.22–1.88). Individuals of Asian ethnicity may also be at higher risk of ITU admission (pooled adjusted RR 1.97 95% CI 1.34–2.89) (but no studies had yet been peer-reviewed) and death (pooled adjusted RR/HR 1.22 [0.99–1.50]).InterpretationIndividuals of Black and Asian ethnicity are at increased risk of COVID-19 infection compared to White individuals; Asians may be at higher risk of ITU admission and death. These findings are of critical public health importance in informing interventions to reduce morbidity and mortality amongst ethnic minority groups.

Highlights

  • Over 39 million people have been infected with Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome Coronavirus-2 (SARS-CoV-2) and over 1 million have died from Coronavirus Disease (COVID-19) since December 2019 [1]

  • An additional 901 articles were identified from MedRxiv within the same period, giving a total of 1512 articles. 218 articles were excluded because they did not report on individuals with COVID-19; 95 were excluded as they did not mention ethnicity

  • A further 177 were excluded from the meta-analysis, including 19 studies which defined patients with COVID-19 as those with positive SARS-CoV-2 serology. 147 studies which provided no data on our predefined outcomes, and 11 studies in which the cohort was likely to have overlapped with another paper included in our data synthesis

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Summary

Introduction

Over 39 million people have been infected with Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome Coronavirus-2 (SARS-CoV-2) and over 1 million have died from Coronavirus Disease (COVID-19) since December 2019 [1]. Individuals from Black and Asian ethnicities had a higher risk of COVID-19 infection compared to White individuals This was consistent in both the main analysis (pooled adjusted RR for Black: 2.02, 95% CI 1.67À2.44; pooled adjusted RR for Asian: 1.50, 95% CI 1.24À1.83) and sensitivity analyses examining peer-reviewed studies only (pooled adjusted RR for Black: 1.85, 95%CI: 1.46À2.35; pooled adjusted RR for Asian: 1.51, 95% CI 1.22À1.88). Interpretation: Individuals of Black and Asian ethnicity are at increased risk of COVID-19 infection compared to White individuals; Asians may be at higher risk of ITU admission and death. These findings are of critical public health importance in informing interventions to reduce morbidity and mortality amongst ethnic minority groups

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