Ethnic Diversity, Anti‐Immigrant Sentiments, and Radical Right Voting in the Flemish Region of Belgium

Abstract

AbstractA standard assumption in realistic threat theories is that the presence of ethnic minorities is associated with a rise of anti‐immigrant sentiments. However, we do not know whether this presence has a specific local effect, or whether one can detect a more general nationwide perception of threat. Using data from a recent Belgian population survey, we assess the association between ethnic diversity within the local community and anti‐immigrant sentiments. Results suggest a strong negative association between the level of ethnic diversity and anti‐immigrant sentiments. Furthermore, while we do not find evidence for an association between ethnic diversity and radical right voting on the individual level, there is a strong negative correlation on the aggregate level. We conclude with some speculation about how anti‐immigrant sentiments are created in areas with a very low levels of ethnic diversity, and what this implies for the electoral potential of radical‐right parties.