Abstract

This paper presents an analysis of the structural and thermodynamic characteristics of intense Mesoscale Convective Systems (MCS) that occurred in the State of Rio de Janeiro between 02 and 03 January 2013. These MCS caused floods and landslides in Metropolitan and Mountain Regions of Rio de Janeiro, with material and economic losses, dozens injured, and two fatal human losses. The analyzes were made using Geostationary Operational Environmental Satellite images in infrared spectrum (channel 4), the Forecasting and Tracking of Active Cloud Clusters method, images from radar at Pico do Couto, meteorological data from surface stations, and reanalyzes from National Center for Environmental Predictions. Results from satellite showed that the studied MCS were stimulated by a cold front that moved over southern of the State of Rio de Janeiro on 02 January. The MCS that reached Metropolitan and Mountain Regions of Rio de Janeiro initiated at 01:15 UTC of 03 January, acquired its own dynamic, and moved eastward with a mean velocity of around 11 m/s, travelling around 150 km between 01:15 UTC and 14:45 UTC of 03 January. This system reached the mountain region of the State of Rio de Janeiro with maximum intensity in the early morning at Xerem, Duque de Caxias. The MCS had a maximum total area of around 23200 km 2 (170 km in extension) and maximum convective area of around 5600 km 2 , very cold cloud tops ( 0,7 (semicircle), radar reflectivities “strong”, and a total rainfall of 224,6 mm in Xerem (from surface stations). Except by the MCS extension, its characteristics were similar to the Mesoscale Convective Complexes (MCC) studied in the literature. The thermodynamic and circulation fields showed strong moisture convergence and atmospheric instabilities over State of Rio de Janeiro, contributing to the formation of this severe storm. We have also observed circulation patterns similar to the ones found in MCC events described in the literature, with a Low Level Jet over Southeast South America and a High Level Jet in the subtropics.

Highlights

  • This paper presents an analysis of the structural and thermodynamic characteristics of intense Mesoscale Convective Systems (MCS) that occurred in the State of Rio de Janeiro between 02 and 03 January 2013

  • Mesoscale convective systems activity during SALLJEX and the relationship with SALLJ events

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Summary

Introdução

Os sistemas convectivos de mesoescala (SCM) são sistemas meteorológicos responsáveis por condições de tempo adversas, ocasionando grande impacto social e econômico em diversas regiões do Brasil. Por todas as razões descritas acima, as regiões metropolitana e serrana do Estado do Rio de Janeiro também têm sofrido drasticamente com a ocorrência desses sistemas ao longo dos anos. Diversos tipos de SCM têm sido estudados com a finalidade de determinar o seu tamanho médio e o seu horário preferencial de iniciação e maturação (Velasco & Fritsch, 1987; Machado & Rossow, 1993; Machado et al, 1998; Nicolini et al, 2002; Vila & Machado, 2004; Zipser et al, 2004; Siqueira et al, 2005, Siqueira et al, 2010; entre outros). Estes estudos mostraram que o tamanho médio dos SCM está associado ao seu tempo de vida, com os sistemas maiores apresentando uma maior duração. Estes sistemas tiveram como consequências grandes enxurradas, enchentes e deslizamentos de terra, causando perdas materiais expressivas, dezenas de feridos, e duas perdas fatais nas regiões serrana e metropolitana do Estado (principalmente no município de Duque de Caxias)

Dados e Metodologia
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