Estimation of the Impact of Vaccination Intervention on Recovered Coronavirus Patients

Abstract

This work estimated the impact of vaccination intervention on coronavirus patients who have recovered from the disease and the vulnerability index of the recovered population due to the impact of vaccine was also investigated. This work adopted a numerical solution to study the continuous dynamical system of linear first order differential equations describing a SEIR (Susceptible, Exposed, Infected, Recovered) model on the spread of Coronavirus Disease – 2019 (COVID-19). To tackle this problem, MATLAB ordinary differential equation of order 45 (ODE45) numerical method was adopted for the analysis. The vulnerability index of the recovered population was low due to the impact of vaccine meaning that the recovered population will gain immunity and they will not be re-infected. The study recommended that coronavirus patients who have recovered from the disease should ensure that they have vaccination administered to them to avoid re-occurrence of the virus attack as an intervention strategy.