Estimation of long-term variation in nutrient loads from the Hii River by comparing the change in observed and calculated loads in the catchments

Abstract

To study the long-term change in nutrient loads from the Hii River to Lake Shinji, water samples were taken repeatedly over a year in 1983/1984 and again in 2001/2002. Annual total nitrogen (TN) loads, estimated from observations of water quality and river flow, increased from 860 to 920 t with a corresponding increase in NO3–N concentration during the cool season. In contrast, total phosphorus (TP) loads decreased from 96 to 62 t. Annual TN and TP loads, calculated using emission factors and annual statistics for the catchments, showed a tendency to decline from 1986 to 2002. No source could be identified which would result in the increase in TN in the catchments, therefore, the increase in observed TN loads was considered to originate in other areas. Atmospheric nitrogen deposition transported from long distances has elevated the sum of NH4–N and NO3–N concentration in rainwater in the cool season. Therefore, it was considered that this resulted in the increase in TN loads in the Hii River.