Estimation of Groundwater Recharge in Kumamoto Area, Japan in 2016 by Mapping Land Cover Using GIS Data and SPOT 6/7 Satellite Images

Abstract

Agricultural fields, grasslands, and forests are very important areas for groundwater recharge. However, these types of land cover in the Kumamoto area, Japan, were damaged by the Kumamoto earthquake and heavy rains in 2016. In this region, where groundwater provides almost 100% of the domestic water supply for a population of about 1 million, quantitative evaluation of changes in groundwater recharge due to land cover changes induced by natural disasters is important for the sustainable use of groundwater in the future. The objective of this study was to create a land cover map and estimate the groundwater recharge in 2016. Geographic information system (GIS) data and SPOT 6/7 satellite images were used to classify the Kumamoto area into nine categories. The maximum likelihood classifier of supervised classification was applied in ENVI 5.6. Eventually, the map was cleaned up with a 21 × 21 kernel filter, which is larger than the common size of 3 × 3. The created land cover map showed good performance of the larger filter size and sufficient validity, with overall accuracy of 91.7% and a kappa coefficient of 0.88. The estimated total groundwater recharge amount reached 757.56 million m3. However, if areas of paddy field, grassland, and forest had not been reduced due to the natural disasters, it is estimated that the total groundwater recharge amount would have been 759.86 million m3, meaning a decrease of 2.30 million m3 in total. The decrease of 2.13 million m3 in the paddy fields is temporary, because the paddy fields and irrigation channels have been improved and the recharge amount will recover. On the other hand, since the topsoil on the landslide scars will not recover easily in natural conditions, it is expected to take at least 100 years for the groundwater recharge to return to its original state. The recharge amount was estimated to decrease by 0.17 million m3 due to landslides. This amount is quite small compared to the total recharge amount. However, since the reduced recharge amount accounts for the annual water consumption for 1362 people, and 12.1% of the recharge decrease of 1.41 million m3 each year to fiscal year 2024 is expected by municipalities, we conclude that efforts should be made to compensate for the reduced amount due to the disasters.