Abstract
Reliable measures of nighttime atmospheric fine particulate matter (PM2.5) concentrations are essential for monitoring their continuous diurnal variation. Here, we proposed a night PM2.5 concentration estimation (NightPMES) model based on the random forest model. This model integrates the radiance of the Visible Infrared Imaging Radiometer Suite (VIIRS) Day/Night Band (DNB), moon phase angle, and meteorological data. We collected 13486 samples from the Beijing Tianjin–Hebei (BTH) region. The determination coefficient (R2) of the NightPMES model was 0.82, the root mean square error (RMSE) was 16.67 µg/m3, and the mean absolute error (MAE) was 10.20 µg/m3. The applicability analysis of the moon phase angles indicated that the amount of data available increased by 60% while the accuracy remained relatively unchanged. In the seasonal model, the meteorological factors and DNB radiance were found to be the primary factors affecting the PM2.5 concentration in different seasons. In conclusion, this study provided a method for estimating nighttime PM2.5 concentration that will improve our understanding of air pollution and associated trends in PM2.5 variation.
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