Estimation of economic efficiency of mineral resource base development projects using the real options method

Abstract

The article has indicated by the problem of assessing the effectiveness of investment projects of development of mineral resource base in the face of declining quality of raw materials and the transition to the working out of deposits with low content of useful components. The problem of providing with raw materials is relevant for the ferrous metallurgy of theRepublicof Uzbekistan. The decision can be the development of a deposit of titanium-magnetite ores «Tebinbulak» with low iron content. Justification of the effectiveness of such a project requires the use of modern tools. The article has substantiated the possibility of using real options to assess the economic efficiency of investment projects to develop the mineral resource base. In this paper we have considered the concept of real options in relation to the field of investment projects to develop the mineral resource base, have developed a classification of possible options in this area. To assess the value of real option of the project of develop the mineral resources base we have proposed to use Black– Scholes model, have given the interpretation of elements of model in relation to this sphere. On an example of field development project titanomagnetite ores «Tebinbulak» has evaluated the strategic value of the project with realigning option expectations.