Abstract
Analysis of route choice behavior will help traffic demand forecasting on urban expressway planning, because motorists choose appropriate route to go to destination smoothly. The objective of the study is to describe the structure of preference between expressway and street and build a practical diversion model with fuzzy set theory. First, considering fare term on route choice, Fuzzy Delphi Method (F. D. M.) is proposed to estimate the membership functions of main factors with small sample survey. Second, the diversion model between express-way and streets is designed with fuzzy reasoning. Third, traffic assgnment with fuzzy diversion model is applied to demand forecasting on Hanshin Expressway.
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