Estimation and decomposition analysis of carbon emissions from the entire production cycle for Chinese household consumption

In recent years, the global greenhouse effect caused by excessive energy-related carbon emissions has attracted more and more attention. In this paper, we studied the dynamic evolution of factors driving China's energy-related CO2 emissions growth from 2007 to 2015 by using energy consumption method and input-output analysis and used the IO-SDA model to decompose the energy carbon emissions. Within the research interval, the results showed that (1) on the energy supply-side, the high carbon energy represented by raw coal was still the main factor to promote the growth of energy-related CO2 emissions. However, the optimization of energy consumption structure is conducive to reducing emissions. Specifically, the high carbon energy represented by raw coal exhibited a downward trend in promoting the increment of energy-related CO2 emissions, while the clean energy represented by natural gas showed an upward trend in promoting the increment of CO2 emissions. It is worth noting that there is still a lot of room for optimization of China’s energy consumption structure to reduce emissions. (2) On the energy demand-side, the final demand effect is the main driving force of the growth of carbon emissions from fossil energy. Among them, the secondary industry plays a major role in the final demand effect. The "high carbonization" of the final product reflects the characteristics of China's high energy input in the process of industrialization. At the same time, since the carbon emission efficiency of the tertiary industry and the primary industry is better than that of the secondary industry, actively optimizing the industrial structure is conducive to slowing down the growth of carbon emission brought by the demand effect. (3) The input structure effect is the main restraining factor for the growth of energy carbon emissions, while the energy intensity effect has a slight driving effect on the growth of energy carbon emissions. The results show that China's "extensive" economic growth model has been effectively reversed, but the optimization of fossil energy utilization efficiency is still not obvious, and there is still a large space to curb carbon emissions by improving fossil energy utilization efficiency in the future.

Hunan province energy consumption carbon emissions based on the industrial structure was analyzed with carbon emissions factor method in 2000-2012. Results show that Hunan province’s carbon emissions have a rapid growth in 2000-2012. Since 2007 the growth of carbon intensity is slowly, and there is an emergence of signs of decline. Recently the correlation between the growth of GDP and carbon emissions in Hunan Province becomes weakening, but carbon intensity is still higher. Industry occupies a dominant position in the energy consumption carbon emissions. Since 2007 the proportion of industrial carbon emissions is decreased form 79.41% to 72.30% in 2012, there is an obvious decline. Recently, the growth rate of industrial carbon emissions is relative lower. The growth of carbon emissions from the construction industry and the tertiary industry is the most obvious. Relevant policies should be formulated as soon as possible, to promote the level of construction technology, control energy consumption and carbon emissions per unit of output.

In order to study the influence of urban green space landscape pattern on urban carbon emissions， nighttime lighting data， socioeconomic development data， and land use remote sensing data from 2000 to 2020 are used as the basis of analysis， and the three major coastal economically developed regions in China-Bohai Rim， Yangtze River Delta （YRD）， and Pearl River Delta （PRD） （nearly 100 cities in total） are used as the study area to analyze the spatial and temporal evolution characteristics of urban carbon emissions， as well as the influence of urban green space landscape pattern and its spatial and temporal changes. We also explored the influence of 10 urban green space landscape pattern indices on urban carbon emissions by using the random forest model and the Lasso regression model and further analyzed the four factors （number of patches， density of patches， dispersion of patches， and complexity of the shape of patches） that had a greater influence by using the spatio-temporal geographically weighted regression model， to explore the results of the spatial and temporal evolution of the influence of the urban green space landscape pattern on carbon emissions. The main findings of this study are as follows： ① Carbon emissions in the three study areas showed a slow growth trend， with the Bohai Rim showing a relatively fast growth rate. Carbon emissions were spatially aggregated in the selected study areas， with the majority of cities in the "high and high" agglomeration and the "low and low" agglomeration regions. There was spatial aggregation of carbon emissions in the selected study areas， with the majority of cities in "high and high" agglomeration and "low and low" agglomeration. The land-averaged carbon emissions in the three study areas were dispersed in all directions， with the economically strong cities as the core， and the overall carbon emission level was dispersed from the center to the surroundings. Additionally， along the rivers and coastal areas， carbon emissions were higher due to the concentration of ports， industrial zones， and cities. ② Landscape occupied by patches， number of patches， and density of patches had a significant negative correlation with urban carbon emissions， which indicates that the higher the number， density， and proportion of the landscape occupied by urban green space patches， the more it could hinder the growth of carbon emissions. On the contrary， the shape index and patch fragmentation index had a positive correlation with urban carbon emissions， indicating that the higher the shape complexity of urban green space patches and the higher the fragmentation degree of patches， the more it promoted the growth of urban carbon emissions. In addition， the aggregation index also showed a significant negative correlation with urban carbon emissions， which indicates that the higher the degree of aggregation of patches， the more it could inhibit the growth of carbon emissions. ③ The correlation between the green space landscape pattern index and carbon emissions showed significant spatial and temporal differences， with large changes around 2010. In the Bohai Rim Region， the influence of the urban landscape pattern index on carbon emissions remained relatively stable， and its influence over time generally showed a decline. In the YRD Region， the shape complexity and dispersion of urban green space had a greater impact on carbon emissions than the number of patches and patch density factors. However， on the contrary， in the PRD Region， the impacts of the number of urban green spaces and density index were increasing. In addition， the spatial influence changes on all showed the clustering of regression coefficients. The impact of urban green space on carbon emissions varied greatly across locations and time， suggesting that policy makers cannot rely on a one-size-fits-all approach to urban green space planning. In the Bohai Rim Region， it is more important to balance the distribution of urban green space with other land uses to maintain stability； in the YRD Region， highly fragmented and overly complex green space patch planning should be reduced； and in the PRD Region， priority should be given to increasing the amount and distribution density of urban green space.

Impact of population ageing on carbon emissions: A case of China's urban households

China’s carbon emissions from urban and rural households during 1992–2007

Excessive carbon emissions from energy consumption seriously restrict China's sustainable development and eco-environmental protection. Although the carbon emissions from the construction industry are less than that of the power, transportation, and manufacturing sectors, the carbon emissions released by the construction industry cannot be ignored due to its extensive development trend of high energy consumption and low efficiency. Based on this, this paper studies energy-related carbon emissions and emissions reduction of China's construction industry from 2007 to 2017 by adopting the input-output analysis method, energy consumption method, and structural decomposition model. The results show that within the sample range: (1) The optimization of the construction industry energy consumption structure has a significant reduction effect on the growth of energy carbon emissions from the construction industry in China, and the reduction effect has shown an increasing trend over time. However, it should be noted that in this sample range, the optimization of energy consumption structure in the construction industry is mainly reflected in the decrease of the proportion of high-carbon energy consumption such as raw coal, while low-carbon energy such as natural gas has not played a significant role. Therefore, the future energy optimization space of China's construction industry is still huge. (2) Energy intensity effect and input structure effect have a positive inhibitory effect on carbon emission growth of the construction industry, and the inhibitory effect of energy intensity effect is stronger than that of input structure effect. It shows that in the sample range, the generalized technological progress and energy efficiency of the construction industry have been better optimized and improved. (3) Except for 2015-2017, the final demand effect in other intervals has a positive effect on the growth of carbon emissions in the construction industry, and the secondary and tertiary industries play a major role in the final demand effect. It shows that the total demand for the construction industry in various industries still maintains a growth trend. This paper provides a theoretical analysis basis and practical guidance for China's construction industry to carry out more accurate and efficient emission reduction from the supply-side energy varieties and demand-side industry level, and further enriches the existing research on carbon emissions of the construction industry from the perspective of input-output analysis.

Carbon emissions from land use change have become one of the main sources of regional carbon emissions. In order to explore the changes, 87 districts and counties in Gansu Province are taken as research objects. Based on the remote sensing data and statistical data of land use, the carbon emission coefficient method was used to investigate the spatial characteristics of land use carbon emission of each district and county in Gansu Province in recent 20years from the perspective of carbon ecological support coefficient and per capita carbon footprint. The main results are as follows: (1) the growth of land use carbon emissions in Gansu Province from 2000 to 2020 was significant, but the growth of carbon emissions after 2010 was fast, and the growth of carbon sinks was relatively slow. (2) The ecological support coefficient of carbon emissions at county level in Gansu Province showed a trend of high in the south and low in the north, high in the east and low in the west, and this trend became more and more obvious with the passage of time. (3) Based on carbon emission, county population, and carbon ecological support capacity, the per capita carbon footprint of each county in Gansu Province was analyzed. The results showed that the per capita carbon footprint in Gansu Province was increasing, indicating that the gap between carbon emission and carbon absorption in each county was widening. By the above result, the author divides the counties of Gansu Province into three regions, low-carbon maintenance area, green development area, and ecological optimization area, and puts forward development suggestions for different regions, respectively. Therefore, this paper can also provide a theoretical reference for the formulation of carbon neutral planning measures in inland northwest China.

To assess the characteristics of household carbon emissions per capita (HCPC), this paper divided China's provinces into 4 groups based on the decoupling relationship between household consumption and related emissions. This classification helped to analyze the correlation and reflected the decoupling status between carbon emissions and household consumption and explored the effect of consumption growth on carbon emissions. Then, according to logarithmic mean divisia index (LMDI) model, HCPC in China's provinces was decomposed into four drivers including carbon coefficient, energy structure, energy consumption, and population structure effect. Through multi-regional (M-R) analysis, temporal evolution and spatial differences of these four drivers in both national and provincial level were studied. This comparison method introduced temporal and spatial decomposition results into the same framework, which may provide a new perspective for analyzing carbon emission trends. The results showed that (a) the HCPC in all 30 provinces increased significantly especially in Inner Mongolia, Tianjin, Xinjiang, Heilongjiang, and Beijing. Energy consumption effect was the leading factor promoting HCPC growth. Energy structure and population structure also promoted HCPC growth slightly, and carbon coefficient was the effect which had inhibitory effect on HCPC growth at regional level. (b) Spatial differences of HCPC between regions narrowed during this period. This is mainly due to the rapid growth of HCPC in region IV. Energy consumption effect was the dominant factor for the spatial differences. Based on the results, this paper proposed to adopt more effective measures to improve energy efficiency, develop clean energy, and optimize energy structure, especially in the provinces with faster growth in carbon emissions.

Economic development usually leads to increased energy consumption, which in turn will result in an increase in carbon emissions. To break the relationship between economic development and carbon emissions, scholars have turned their attention to the phenomenon of decoupling. In this paper, we studied the decoupling relationship between carbon emissions and economic growth of the equipment manufacturing industry in China from 2000 to 2014. We adapted the LMDI decomposition method, and we used the Tapio decoupling evaluation model to analyze our data. We found that the decoupling relationship between carbon emissions and economic growth of China’s equipment manufacturing industry is weak, which indicates the industry is experiencing faster economic growth than carbon emission growth. We found the economic output is the factor that has the strongest influence on the industry’s carbon emission, and energy consumption intensity has the strongest relationship with the decoupling of economic growth and carbon emission. The indicators of the industry’s decoupling-effort are all less than 1.0, which indicates that the industry is in the state of weak decoupling, and we also observed an annual decreasing trend in the industry’s indicators. Toward the end of this paper, we used the Grey forecasting model to predict the decoupling relationship between carbon emission and economic growth for 2015–2024, and we discussed the implications of our research.

Factors that Influence the Tourism Industry's Carbon Emissions: a Tourism Area Life Cycle Model Perspective

Population flow can affect regional carbon emissions. Based on the analysis of the dual transmission mechanism of population flow and its effect on carbon emissions, this paper empirically studies the impact of population flow and other related factors on China's carbon emissions through panel econometric regression and heterogeneity analysis with fixed effect model. The results show that, firstly, in the long or short term, China's population flow can reduce the growth of carbon emissions. Secondly, the regional population aging and knowledge structure improvement caused by population flow are helpful to reduce carbon emissions, while the regional urbanization improvement caused by population flow is not significantly correlated with the growth of household miniaturization on carbon emissions. Thirdly, from the perspective of heterogeneous geographical divisions, population flow promotes the increase of carbon emissions in the northwest region of the Hu Huanyong Line (Hu Line), while it is opposite in the southeast region of Hu Line. Fourthly, China's consumption level, per capita GDP, energy intensity, and energy consumption structure have contributed to the growth of carbon emissions, while carbon intensity has a negative effect on carbon emissions. Finally, this paper puts forward relevant suggestions from the perspective of coordinating population policy and energy conservation and emission reduction policy.

In 2021, the Chinese government announced the goal and vision of carbon peak and carbon neutralization. The proposal of "double carbon strategy" has an important impact on China’s economic development. In this context, in order to accelerate the green development of Liaoning economy and realize the decoupling between economic growth and carbon emission. Taking Liaoning Province as the research object, this paper uses Granger causality test to analyze the relationship between energy consumption, carbon emission and economic growth, and uses Tapio decoupling analysis method to study the change of decoupling state between carbon emission and economic growth from 2010 to 2019. It is found that there is a two-way Granger causality between carbon emission, energy consumption and economic growth. At the same time, the decoupling analysis shows that the decoupling of carbon emission in Liaoning Province is more significant, and the carbon emission intensity of economy has decreased. Finally, it puts forward countermeasures and suggestions that Liaoning Province should optimize the industrial structure and speed up the application of clean energy.

On the basis of the extended Kaya identity and by means of LMDI, the writers analyze quantitatively the 4 factors including carbon emission intensity of planting, agriculture structure, economical level, and population size, etc. thus giving effects to changes of carbon emissions from agricultural production in Sichuan Province from 1997 to 2010.The results show that carbon emission intensity of planting and agriculture structure have brought negative effects to the growth of carbon emissions. These effects will come into being more and more obviously. Economic level played a direct role in growth of carbon emissions, which is considered to be their greatest and everlasting contributor in respect of growth of carbon emissions. The contribution of population size keeps pace with carbon emissions basically. These reflect Sichuan Province have made some achievements in adjusting the agricultural structure in recent years. The rural population have been maintained under stable control in Sichuan. Meanwhile, with its economic development, the agriculture modernization has been improved gradually paying attention to, such as agriculture mechanization, chemization, irrigation and the demand for energy consumption keeps on rising. Finally, carbon emissions have increased in agricultural production of Sichuan Province.

The Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei (B-T-H) region, who captures the national strategic highland in China, has drawn a great deal of attention due to the fog and haze condition and other environmental problems. Further, the high carbon emissions generated by energy consumption has restricted its further coordinated development seriously. In order to accurately analyze the potential influencing factors that contribute to the growth of energy consumption carbon emissions in the B-T-H region, this paper uses the carbon emission coefficient method to measure the carbon emissions of energy consumption in the B-T-H region, using a weighted combination based on Logarithmic Mean Divisia Index (LMDI) and Shapley Value (SV). The effects affecting carbon emissions during 2001–2013 caused from five aspects, including energy consumption structure, energy consumption intensity, industrial structure, economic development and population size, are quantitatively analyzed. The results indicated that: (1) The carbon emissions had shown a sustained growth trend in the B-T-H region on the whole, while the growth rates varied in the three areas. In detail, Hebei Province got the first place in carbon emissions growth, followed by Tianjin and Beijing; (2) economic development was the main driving force for the carbon emissions growth of energy consumption in B-T-H region. Energy consumption structure, population size and industrial structure promoted carbon emissions growth as well, but their effects weakened in turn and were less obvious than that of economic development; (3) energy consumption intensity had played a significant inhibitory role on the carbon emissions growth; (4) it was of great significance to ease the carbon emission-reduction pressure of the B-T-H region from the four aspects of upgrading industrial structure adjustment, making technological progress, optimizing the energy structure and building long-term carbon-emission-reduction mechanisms, so as to promote the coordinated low-carbon development.

Insight into carbon emissions related to residential consumption in Tibetan Plateau–Case study of Qinghai