Estimating the future numbers of EV&HV battery cells available for second life repurposing

Abstract

With the decision by the UK government to ban the sale of new internal combustion engine (ICE) vehicles by 2030 and hybrid vehicles by 2035, it is expected that there will be a substantial increase in the number of electric vehicles (EV) being produced by 2050. This paper uses a mathematical tool to estimate four sets of data: the number of vehicles forecasted to be on the road, the number of vehicles that will be electric or hybrid, the number of vehicles reaching their end-of-life, and finally the proportion and type of EV cells that will come through.