Estimating the Effect of Tafamidis on Cardiovascular-Related Hospitalization in NYHA Class III Patients with Transthyretin Amyloid Cardiomyopathy in the Presence of Death

Abstract

Background: The Tafamidis in Transthyretin Cardiomyopathy Clinical Trial (ATTR-ACT) demonstrated the effectiveness of tafamidis for the treatment of patients with transthyretin amyloid cardiomyopathy (ATTR-CM). Tafamidis reduced mortality in all subgroups of patients studied. Tafamidis also reduced observed frequency of cardiovascular (CV)-related hospitalizations in all subgroups except those who were New York Heart Association (NYHA) class III at baseline who, paradoxically, had a higher frequency of CV-related hospitalizations than placebo. Given the greater mortality rate with placebo, this analysis assessed the impact of the confounding effect of death on the frequency of CV-related hospitalization in ATTR-ACT. Methods: In ATTR-ACT, patients with ATTR-CM were randomized to tafamidis (n = 264) or placebo (n = 177) for 30 months. Post hoc analyses first defined and compared the effect of tafamidis treatment in the subset of NYHA class III patients from each treatment arm alive at month 30. The impact of a potential survivor bias was then adjusted for using principal stratification, estimating the frequency of CV-related hospitalization in NYHA class III patients who would have survived regardless of assigned treatment group (defined as the survivor average causal effect [SACE]). Results: In the subset of NYHA class III patients alive at month 30, tafamidis reduced the relative risk of CV-related hospitalization versus placebo (relative risk: 0.95 [95% CI: 0.55–1.65]). In the principal stratification analyses of those patients who would survive to 30 months regardless of treatment, tafamidis treatment was associated with a 24% lower risk of CV-related hospitalization (relative risk: 0.76 [95% CI: 0.45–1.24]). Similarly, there was a larger reduction in CV-related hospitalization frequency with tafamidis in NYHA class I or II patients in the SACE than was initially observed in ATTR-ACT. Conclusions: Initial data from ATTR-ACT likely underestimated the effect of tafamidis on CV-related hospitalizations due to the confounding effect of death. When SACE was used to adjust for survivor bias, there was a 24% reduction in the frequency of CV-related hospitalization in NYHA class III patients treated with tafamidis.