Abstract

BackgroundThe growing human population around the world is creating an increased demand for food. In agricultural landscapes, forests are cleared and turned into agricultural land to produce more food. Increasing the productivity of agricultural land per unit area may prevent extreme forest degradation. Since many agricultural products are dependent on pollinators, it is possible to increase crop production by increasing the pollination rate in the agricultural landscapes. Pollinators are highly dependent on forest patches in agricultural landscapes. Therefore, by creating new forest patches around agricultural fields, we can increase the pollination rate, and thus the crop production. In this regard, estimating the effects of different scenarios of forest fragmentation helps us to find an optimized pattern of forest patches for increasing pollination in an agricultural landscape.MethodsTo investigate the effect of different forest fragmentation scenarios on pollination, we used simulated agricultural landscapes, including different forest proportions and degrees of fragmentation. Using landscape metrics, we estimated the relationship between pollination and landscape structure for each landscape.ResultsOur results showed that for increasing pollination, two significant factors should be considered: habitat amount and capacity of small patches to supply pollination. We found that when the capacity of small patches in supplying pollination was low, fragmented patterns of forest patches decreased pollination. With increasing capacity, landscapes with a high degree of forest fragmentation showed the highest levels of pollination. There was an exception for habitat amounts (the proportion of forest patches) less than 0.1 of the entire landscape where increasing edge density, aggregation, and the number of forest patches resulted in increasing pollination in all scenarios.ConclusionThis study encourages agriculturists and landscape planners to focus on increasing crop production per unit area by pollinators because it leads to biodiversity conservation and reduces socio-economic costs of land-use changes. We also suggest that to increase pollination in agricultural landscapes by creating new forest patches, special attention should be paid to the capacity of patches in supporting pollinators.

Highlights

  • Considering the global population growth, it has been argued that agricultural production should increase by 70% by 2050 (Bruinsma 2009)

  • At p = 0.001 in all forest proportions (0.05, 0.1, 0.2, 0.3, 0.4, and 0.5) of the total landscape, high levels of forest fragmentation led to declining pollination

  • The capacity of small patches in supplying pollination Our results showed that the effects of forest fragmentation on pollination were influenced by two main factors: (1) the capacity of small patches in supplying pollination and (2) the proportion of the landscape occupied by forest patches or habitat amount

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Summary

Introduction

Considering the global population growth, it has been argued that agricultural production should increase by 70% by 2050 (Bruinsma 2009). The second goal of the Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) aims to end hunger, achieve food security and improved nutrition, and promote sustainable agriculture (Assembly 2015). These goals would need more arable land in agricultural landscapes which may lead to continued deforestation (Keenan et al 2015). By creating new forest patches around agricultural fields, we can increase the pollination rate, and the crop production. In this regard, estimating the effects of different scenarios of forest fragmentation helps us to find an optimized pattern of forest patches for increasing pollination in an agricultural landscape

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