Estimating Evapotranspiration of Screenhouse Banana Plantations Using Artificial Neural Network and Multiple Linear Regression Models

Abstract

Measured evapotranspiration (LE) of screenhouse banana plantations was utilized to derive and compare two types of machine-learning models: artificial neural network (ANN) and multiple linear regression (MLR). The measurements were conducted by eddy-covariance systems and meteorological sensors in two similar screenhouse banana plantations during two consecutive seasons, 2016 and 2017. Most of the study focused on the season of 2017, which includes a more extended data set (141 days) than 2016 (52 days). The results show that in most cases, the ANN model was superior to MLR. When trained and validated over the whole data set of 2017, the ANN and MLR models provided R2 of 0.92 and 0.89, RMSE of 37.5 and 45.1 W m−2 and MAE of 21 and 27.2 W m−2, respectively. Models could be derived using a training dataset as short as one month and still provide reliable estimations. Depending on the chosen calendar month for training, R2 of the ANN model varied in the range 0.81–0.89, while for the MLR model, it ranged 0.73–0.88. When trained using a data set as short as one week, there was some deterioration in model performance; the corresponding ranges of R2 for the ANN and MLR models were 0.37–0.89 and 0.37–0.71, respectively. As expected for a screenhouse decoupled environment, solar radiation (Rg) was the variable that most influenced LE; using Rg as the sole input variable, the ANN model resulted in R2, RMSE and MAE of 0.88 and 47 W m−2 and 25.6 W m−2, respectively, values that are not much worse than using all input variables (solar radiation, air temperature, air relative humidity and wind speed). Using Rg alone as the input to the MLR model only slightly deteriorated R2 (=0.88); however, RMSE (=124 W m−2) and MAE (=75.7 W m−2) were significantly larger compared to a model based on all input variables. To examine model performance in different seasons, models were trained using the data set of 2017 and validated in 2016, and vice versa. Results showed that training on the data of 2017 and validation in 2016 provided superior results than the opposite, presumably since the 2017 measurement season was longer and weather conditions were more diverse than in the 2016 data set. It is concluded that the ANN and MLR models are reasonable options for estimating evapotranspiration in a banana screenhouse.