Abstract

The aim of this article is to understand the extreme variability in estimates of the reproduction ratio R 0 observed in practice. For expository purposes, we consider a discrete‐time, stochastic version of the susceptible‐infected‐recovered model and introduce different approximate maximum likelihood estimators of R 0. We carefully discuss the properties of these estimators and illustrate, by a Monte Carlo study, the widths of confidence intervals for R 0.

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