Abstract
The main difficulty in making a retrospective assessment of the collective indicators of the degree of irradiation of personnel at the Chernobyl nuclear power plant in 1986 is that complete data on the individual dose load are not available. However, information obtained thus far makes it possible to estimate, to a first approximation, the collective irradiation dose to personnel. The data on which the calculation is based were obtained by a detailed reconstruction of the individual routes under accident and post-accident radiation conditions. This reconstruction was made possible by working directly with eye witnesses and witnesses to the events of 1986, the participation of experts, and the use of data from the teams and archives of the accountants at the plant, and many other auxiliary organizations. From the standpoint of mathematical statistics, the actual individual irradiation does to personnel in 1986 consists of a universe of data and the part that is constructed at a given time---the sample. The universe of data is not known but can be adequately determined only after the dose reconstruction work has been completed. In this paper, we estimate the collective irradiation dose to personnel as a parameter of an unknown universe of data onmore » the basis of a sample of the individual irradiation doses identified at a given time.« less
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