Estimación del riesgo cardiovascular global a partir del riesgo coronario. Estudio de cohortes

Abstract

The coronary risk (CR) is a good approximation of the global cardiovascular risk (GCR). Multiplying the CR per 1.3 we obtain the GCR, but we don't know if it is certain in our country.Prospective cohort study with 851 patients of ages between 35-74 years old, without cardiovascular disease and followed during 5 years. CR include myocardial ischemia (angor pectoris or myocardial infarction). GCR include CR, cerebrovascular disease, and peripheral vascular disease.We registered 21 myocardial ischemia cases, 15 cerebrovascular disease cases and 8 peripheral vascular disease cases. The accumulated incidence was: 2.5% for CR and 5.2% for GCR (difference 2.7%; 95% confidence interval for the difference 0.9-4.6%; p < 0.05). To estimated GCR we should multiple CR per 2.1.CR is not a good approximation of GCR. We need to developed equation that include not only CR but also GCR.