Abstract

Background Accurate and effective biomarkers for the prognosis of patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) are poorly identified. A network-based gene signature may serve as a valuable biomarker to improve the accuracy of risk discrimination in patients. Methods The expression levels of cancer hallmarks were determined by Cox regression analysis. Various bioinformatic methods, such as GSEA, WGCNA, and LASSO, and statistical approaches were applied to generate an MTORC1 signaling-related gene signature (MSRS). Moreover, a decision tree and nomogram were constructed to aid in the quantification of risk levels for each HCC patient. Results Active MTORC1 signaling was found to be the most vital predictor of overall survival in HCC patients in the training cohort. MSRS was established and proved to hold the capacity to stratify HCC patients with poor outcomes in two validated datasets. Analysis of the patient MSRS levels and patient survival data suggested that the MSRS can be a valuable risk factor in two validated datasets and the integrated cohort. Finally, we constructed a decision tree which allowed to distinguish subclasses of patients at high risk and a nomogram which could accurately predict the survival of individuals. Conclusions The present study may contribute to the improvement of current prognostic systems for patients with HCC.

Highlights

  • Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is the most common form of liver cancer globally and is a leading cause of cancer-related mortality [1, 2]

  • A recent study reported that a sixgene signature based on MTORC1 signaling can be used for the prognosis of patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) [10]

  • After ranking the hallmarks according to their Cox coefficients, we observed that MTORC1 signaling was significantly overrepresented with respect to other pathways or processes, including angiogenesis, KRAS signaling, and UV response, thereby becoming the most significant primary factor for predicting the overall survival of patients with HCC (Figure 1(a))

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Summary

Introduction

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is the most common form of liver cancer globally and is a leading cause of cancer-related mortality [1, 2]. Various research groups have reported that the expression levels of components or modulators of MTORC1 signaling, such as p-AKT and RICTOR, are associated with poor survival in patients with HCC [9]. A recent study reported that a sixgene signature based on MTORC1 signaling can be used for the prognosis of patients with HCC [10]. A systematic MTORC1 signaling signature based on this coexpression network has yet to be constructed for the application to HCC risk stratification. A network-based gene signature may serve as a valuable biomarker to improve the accuracy of risk discrimination in patients. The expression levels of cancer hallmarks were determined by Cox regression analysis Various bioinformatic methods, such as GSEA, WGCNA, and LASSO, and statistical approaches were applied to generate an MTORC1 signaling-related gene signature (MSRS). The present study may contribute to the improvement of current prognostic systems for patients with HCC

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