Abstract

This study examined the prognostic impact of erythroblast predominance (EP) in 61 patients with myelodysplastic syndromes (MDS) (n = 51) or acute myeloid leukemia (n = 10) treated with azacitidine. Median age was 78years. EP, defined as > 40% erythroblasts and M/E < 1.0, was found in 21 patients, including 9 complex karyotypes (CK). In the 24 CK of the entire cohort, 5 were hyperdiploid and 15 were monosomal karyotype with -5/5q-, and 10 had immunophenotypically CD41/cyCD41 positive blasts (cyCD41+). The complete response (CR) rate was 32.8%. Median follow-up was 14months, and median overall survival (OS) was 17months. Although all patients with EP achieved high CR rates (61.9%) and extended OS (28M, P = 0.056), patients with EP and cyCD41+ blasts had shorter OS (8M, P = 0.002). EP (HR 0.39, P = 0.009) and cyCD41+ (HR 3.49, P = 0.018) were identified as prognostic factors in multivariate analysis. All patients with cyCD41+ had hyperdiploid or CK with -5/5q-. In conclusion, we divided patients into three risk categories: high (cyCD41+), low (EP without cyCD41+), and intermediate (non-CD41+ and non-EP), and median OS in these categories was 34, 17 and 8months, respectively (P < 0.001).

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