Equity crowdfunding IPOs: Under or overpricing? The case of Poland as an example of quickly catching up economy

Abstract

Research background: The majority of research on equity crowdfunding concerns its evolution in developed countries. There are still relatively few works devoted to equity crowdfunding in developing regions, including Poland. Taking this into account and the lack of research on the effectiveness of ECF-based IPOs, there is a research gap that this article is trying to fill. This paper also contributes to the extensive literature dealing with the occurrence of the IPO underpricing phenomenon and focuses on a regional study on IPO underpricing in the still niche ECF-based IPOs. Purpose of the article: The article aims to show the development of equity crowdfunding in Poland. The article also aims to (i) evaluate the effectiveness of debuts of companies that raised funds (and thus carried out their IPOs) using ECF platforms, and (ii) find the determinants of ECF-based IPOs performance. Methods: The model for testing the potential determinants of ECF-based IPO performance is based on univariate linear regressions measuring the relationship between a dependent variable which stands for ECF-based IPO underpricing and one independent variable (chosen from a set of potential explanatory variables. Findings & value added: The article shows that since 2020 ECF has become an important source of financing for listed SMEs in Poland. Based on the stylized fact on the risk-return tradeoff, it is assumed that ECF-based IPOs are more underpriced than IPOs of other companies to attract investors. The paper revealed that the effectiveness of ECF-based IPOs has mainly the cyclical nature and it depends on the stock price cycle. ECF-based IPOs are more underpriced then other IPOs only in the bull market while in the bear market they are more overpriced. To the best of my knowledge, this is the first study to explore the performance of ECF-based IPOs. Although this paper focuses on Poland, it opens the potential for broader global research in this area. The article can also hold significant practical value for all participants of the ECF market.