Equality of opportunity: Social determinants of university expectation amongst school attending adolescents in Bissau, Guinea-Bissau

Abstract

This research explores determinants of higher education (HE) expectation in Bissau, Guinea-Bissau. Survey data includes 2,039 randomly selected responses from school-attending adolescents, from June 2017. HE expectations were indicated by 77% of girls and 68.7% of boys, privately schooled adolescents more frequently (78.5%) than publicly schooled peers (67.6%). Akaike Information Criterion was utilised, modelling HE expectation. Logistic regression indicated that female gender (OR=1.569), private schooling (OR=1.747), perceived comparative school performance (OR=1.776), increased studying time (OR=1.436), greater parent valuation of studies (OR=1.526), and parental warmth (OR=1.092) predicted HE expectation. Student-teacher conflict (OR=.546) and school disenfranchisement (OR=.755) negatively predicted HE expectations. Comparison with previous research in socioeconomically distinct higher income settings suggests consistently predictive and contextually influenced determinants of university expectation.