Abstract

The impact of the new pneumococcal conjugate vaccines on invasive disease burden in Danish children was evaluated by analysing the results from the last 19 years of a nationwide surveillance of invasive pneumococcal infections. During 1981-1999, the Streptococcus Unit at Statens Serum Institut, Copenhagen, received 1123 invasive pneumococcal isolates from children aged 0-6 years. Nearly 72% (71.8%) of the pneumococcal isolates were from children aged <2 y. The median ages of children with pneumococcal meningitis and bacteraemia were 10.2 mo and 15.9 mo, respectively. The incidence of pneumococcal meningitis remained stable during the study period. The mean annual incidence rates of pneumococcal meningitis among children aged <1, <2, and <7 years were 17.4, 12.4, and 4.3 per 100,000, respectively, during 1981-1999 (overlapping age groups are used throughout this article to facilitate the comparison of incidence data from different countries or among different studies). The annual incidence of pneumococcal bacteraemia increased from 1981 to 1996, after which a slight fall was noted. During the last six years of the study period, the mean annual incidence rates of bacteraemia were 30.1, 32.5, and 14.0 per 100,000 children aged < 1, < 2, and < 7 years. In the 1990s, pneumococcal isolates with reduced sensitivity to penicillin (0-5% each year) and erythromycin (7.4% in 1999) emerged as a cause of invasive infections in children aged 0-6 years in Denmark. During 1981-1999, 10 serotypes (1, 4, 6A, 6B, 7F, 9V, 14, 18C, 19F, 23F) caused 82% of invasive infections in Danish children. Importantly, no significant temporal changes in overall serotype distribution or differences in serotype distributions between girls and boys could be documented during the study period. According to the Kaiser Permanente trial, the 7-, 9-, and 11-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccines will probably cover around 60%, 70%, and 80%, respectively, of all invasive pneumococcal infections in Danish children aged 0-6y, corresponding to 12-14 episodes of meningitis and 40-60 episodes of bacteraemia per year.

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