Epidemiology of infective endocarditis in Hong Kong, 2000–2019

Abstract

Abstract Background/Introduction Despite improvements in diagnostic and therapeutic strategies, the mortality and morbidity of infective endocarditis (IE) remain high. The incidence, outcomes, and surgical intervention of IE, particularly in an Asian population, are poorly understood and characterised, and the effect of antibiotic prophylaxis guidelines revision on the incidence of IE remains unexplored. Purpose We aim to describe temporal changes in the epidemiology and surgical intervention for IE in Hong Kong in the past 2 decades. Methods From a well-validated territory-wide database in Hong Kong, all patients aged 20 or above diagnosed with incident IE from 2000–2019 were included. The temporal trends in the incidence of IE, rate of surgical intervention, and mean Charlson Comorbidity Index (CCI) were characterised using Poisson regression analysis and expressed in annual percentage change (APC [95% CI]). Interrupted time series analysis was used to evaluate the change in incidence after the revision of antibiotic prophylaxis guidelines. The association between surgical intervention and mortality was evaluated using propensity score analytics. Temporal trends in 1-year all-cause mortality were evaluated using multivariable Cox regression. Results A total of 5,657 patients (59.9±18.3 years, 37.2% females) were included. The crude incidence remained was stable from 2000 to 2019 (APC 0.1% [−0.5 to 0.7], P=0.675), and remained unchanged following the revision of antibiotic prophylaxis guidelines in 2008 (relative risk of change 0.90 [0.64 to 1.00], P=0.065) (Figure 1). Concordant with an increase in the mean age of IE patients (APC 0.9% [0.8 to 1.1], P<0.001), the comorbidity burden grew substantially from 2000 (CCI 0.55±1.27) to 2019 (CCI 1.09±1.66). The rate of surgical intervention significantly increased from 5.3% in 2000 to 17.8% in 2019 (APC 2.7% [1.1 to 4.3], P=0.004), and surgical intervention at 1 year was associated with a 45% risk reduction in 1-year all-cause mortality (Hazard Ratio 0.55 [0.46 to 0.65], P<0.001). Nevertheless, the crude all-cause mortality rate at 1 year increased from 27.4% in 2000 to 31.5% in 2019, with no significant trend after adjustment for demographics and comorbidities (APC −0.7% [−1.6 to 0.1], P=0.087). Conclusions In this large cohort of Asian patients, the incidence of IE remained static and did not change following the revision of antibiotic prophylaxis guidelines. Over time, patients with IE have evolved to be older and more comorbid. Despite an increasing rate of surgical intervention that conferred improved survival, the mortality of IE remained irresistibly high. Funding Acknowledgement Type of funding sources: Public Institution(s). Main funding source(s): The Shenzhen Key Medical DisciplineThe Sanming Project of HKU-SZH Cardiology