Epidemiology of digestive diseases in children in modern conditions: regional data as a reflection of Russian trends

Abstract

Introduction. Pathology of the digestive organs is one of the factors influencing the health indicators in children.
 Purpose of the work: to characterize current trends in the epidemiology of digestive diseases in children in the Udmurt Republic (UR).
 Materials and methods. The epidemiological features of digestive diseases in 0–14 and 15–17 years children were studied on the base on official statistics for the period from 2012 to 2022. The polynomial approximation method was used for forecasting.
 Results. There is a decrease in the prevalence of pathology of the digestive organs in 0–14 years children from 153.0 in 2012 to 75.0 in 2022 per 1000 children of the corresponding age, the average annual rate of decline was –6.3%. The predicted indicator will be 32.3 per 1000 children of the corresponding age in 2025. Similar trend in the prevalence of gastroenterological pathology were noted in the age group of 15–17 years: since 2012, this indicator has decreased by 1.9 times from 187.4 to 93.8 per 1000 children of the corresponding age with an average annual rate of decline of –6.3%. The predicted prevalence of gastroenterological pathology in 15–17 years children in the region will be 69.8 per 1000 children of the corresponding age in 2025. Since 2012, the trend in morbidity is characterized by a decrease in rates in both age groups with a higher rate of decline in the UR: from –10.6% in 0–14 years (Russia: –5.5%) to –7.7% in 15–17 years old (Russia: –3.0%). The predicted incidence rate in the UR will be 19.2 in 2025 for children 0–14 years old; 18.6 for children 15–17 years old.
 Conclusion. The established patterns indicate a decrease in the prevalence and morbidity of digestive organs among the child population of the UR.