Abstract
Objective: monitoring, analysis and forecast of the spread of new coronavirus infection (COVID-19) in the Rostov region.Materials and methods: analysis of data on the incidence of COVID-19 in the Rostov region, obtained on the basis of agencies: Department of the Federal service for supervision of consumer protection and human welfare in the Rostov region, Center of hygiene and epidemiology in Rostov region, Rostov research Institute of Microbiology and Parasitology, as well as the monitoring of information on the Internet sites of the Government of the Rostov region and the regional headquarters for the fight against the spread of COVID-19. Application of the SEIR analytical platform to build a mathematical model for predicting the spread of infection in the Rostov region.Results: the article presents an analysis of the epidemiological situation for the incidence of COVID-19 in the Rostov region, analyzes the effectiveness of preventive and anti-epidemic measures with the ability to predict the development of the epidemiological process in the region.
Highlights
Цель: мониторинг, анализ и прогноз распространения новой коронавирусной инфекции (COVID-19) в Ростовской области
Результаты: в работе представлен анализ эпидемиологической ситуации по заболеваемости COVID-19 в Ростовской области, анализ эффективности реализации профилактических и противоэпидемических мероприятий с возможностью прогнозирования развития эпидемического процесса в регионе
Results: the article presents an analysis of the epidemiological situation for the incidence of COVID-19 in the Rostov region, analyzes the effectiveness of preventive and anti-epidemic measures with the ability to predict the development of the epidemiological process in the region
Summary
Цель: мониторинг, анализ и прогноз распространения новой коронавирусной инфекции (COVID-19) в Ростовской области. Применение аналитической платформы SEIR для построения математической модели прогноза распространения инфекции в Ростовской области. Ключевые слова: коронавирусная инфекция, COVID-19, эпидемиологическая ситуация, прогноз, противоэпидемические мероприятия. Для цитирования: Ковалев Е.В., Твердохлебова Т.И., Карпущенко Г.В., Ерганова Е.Г., Агафонова В.В., Рындич А.А., Суладзе А.Г., Колпаков Д.С., Долгова Н.Н., Алексанина Н.В., Алешукина А.В., Литовко А.Р., Алешукин Г.С., Денисенко В.В. Эпидемиологическая ситуация по новой коронавирусной инфекции (COVID-19) в Ростовской области: анализ и прогноз. Epidemiological situation of a new coronavirus infection (COVID-19) in the Rostov region: analysis and forecast. Objective: monitoring, analysis and forecast of the spread of new coronavirus infection (COVID-19) in the Rostov region. Application of the SEIR analytical platform to build a mathematical model for predicting the spread
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