Abstract

We describe the epidemiological characteristics and associated risk factors of those presenting at a large testing centre for SARS-CoV-2 infection. This is a retrospective record review of individuals who underwent SARS-CoV-2 testing by reverse transcription-polymerase chain reaction (RT-PCR) at a high-throughput national-level government facility located in the north of India. Samples collected from 6 April to 31 December 2020 are included in this work and represent four highly populous regions. Additionally, there was a prospective follow-up of 1729 cases through telephone interviews from 25 May 2020 to 20 June 2020. Descriptive analysis has been performed for profiling clinic-epidemiological aspects of suspect cases. Multivariable logistic regression analysis was undertaken to determine risk factors that are associated with SARS-CoV-2 test positivity and symptom status. A total of 125 600 participants' details have been included in this report. The mean (s.d.) age of the participants was 33.1 (±15.3) years and 66% were male. Among these tested, 9515 (7.6%) were positive for COVID-19. A large proportion of positive cases were asymptomatic. In symptomatic positive cases, the commonest symptoms were cough and fever. Increasing age (groups 20-59 and ≥60 years compared to age group less than 5 years), male sex, history of international travel, symptoms for SARS-CoV-2, and participants from Delhi and Madhya Pradesh were positively associated with SARS-CoV-2 test positivity. Having co-morbidity, risk behaviours and intra-familial positivity were associated with a positive odds ratio for exhibiting SARS-CoV-2 symptoms. Intensified testing and isolation of cases, identification of both asymptomatic and symptomatic individuals and additional care of those with co-morbidities and risk behaviours will all be collectively important for disease containment in India. Reasons for differentials in testing between men and women remain an important area for in-depth study. The increased deployment of vaccines is likely to impact the trajectory of COVID-19 in the coming time, and therefore our data will serve as a comparative resource as India experiences the second wave of infection in light of newer variants that are likely to accelerate disease spread.

Highlights

  • The first case of novel coronavirus disease in India was reported in a student from Thrissur, Kerala, who returned from Wuhan, China, on 30 January 2020 [1]

  • We report here clinic-epidemiological features along with the risk factors among the positive patients in one of the largest cohort of potential COVID-19 cases (n = 125 600) who were tested through reverse transcription-polymerase chain reaction (RT-PCR) for the detection of SARS-CoV-2 infection from the period of 6 April 2020 to 31 December 2020 at National Institute of Biologicals (NIB), an autonomous institute of Ministry of Health and Family Welfare situated in Noida, Uttar Pradesh, India

  • The individuals included in this study were people who were suspected to be exposed to a confirmed case of COVID-19, symptomatic frontline workers, symptomatic who had undertaken international travel, and those presented for laboratory testing from containment zones, or quarantine centres or self-isolation

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Summary

Introduction

The first case of novel coronavirus disease in India was reported in a student from Thrissur, Kerala, who returned from Wuhan, China, on 30 January 2020 [1]. India had reported the largest number of confirmed COVID-19 cases in Asia and ranked second worldwide after the United States during the first wave. As of 30 April 2021, India has confirmed a total of greater than 16.9 million cases with 192 311 deaths attributed to COVID19 [2]. India is dealing with an explosive second wave of SARS-CoV-2 infections and has the dubious distinction of largest daily cases worldwide. The brutal second wave of COVID-19 has hit the nation reporting more than 0.3 million cases daily since mid-April 2021. This study is restricted to the fast wave of the Indian epidemic, our analyses will enlighten data from the second and future waves of SARS-CoV-2 infections

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