Abstract

The roles of the El Niño phenomenon, a cessation of upwelling, and of human fishing in limiting populations of Peruvian guano birds (Guanay cormorant Phalacrocorax bougainvillii, Peruvian booby Sula variegata, and Peruvian brown pelican Pelecanus occidentalis thagus) were investigated using historical records and the scientific literature. In normal years, the combined populations of the three species showed an 18% increase per year. El Niños occurred at approximately five-year intervals and caused a population decrease of 17% and 35% desertion of nesting areas. In severe El Niños at approximately 12-year intervals, there was a mean decrease of 47% and complete nesting failure. El Niños varied in severity and a possible explanation is presented. In non-El Niño years, commercial fishing did not directly control bird populations through starvation of adults or drowning in nets. Increased commercial fishing apparently led to decreased nesting success: the greater the quantity of fish landed, the lower the percentage increase of the bird population that year. Short-lived, heavily-fished species such as anchoveta are in constant danger of population collapse during years of occasional, unpredictable reproductive failure. Bird populations could be maintained as buffers to prevent terminally-destructive overfishing by humans.

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