Environmental risk thresholds and prediction models of Cd in Chinese agricultural soils

Abstract

Soil environmental risk threshold of cadmium (Cd) is an important index in formulating soil protection policy. Environmental risk threshold refers to the maximal allowable critical concentration of hazardous substances in the environment. Although there is less study on how to determine soil Cd environmental risk threshold, it is a crucial indicator in formulating soil conservation policies and a key factor in assessing soil environmental quality. The main research content of the study is deducing the environmental risk threshold, aiming to provide scientific basis for the study of environmental quality standards of agricultural land and provide technical support for the protection of Cd pollution of agricultural land. The hazard concentration of 5 % species (HC5, which protects 95 % of species) was determined here using different toxicological data of Cd from 23 test endpoints, interspecific extrapolation using the species sensitivity distribution (SSD) method, and a prediction model was created on the basis of several soil parameters. According to the findings, Cd effective concentration (EC10) (Cd concentration which blocks 10 % of an endpoint's bioactivity) varied from 0.109 to 221 mg·kg−1, and the hormetic response induced by Cd reached 118 % displaying in the dose-response curve of Lolium perenne L.. Toxicology data was rectified by the aging factor considering biogeochemical processes of the newly added pollutants prior to SSD curves fitting. After that, the prediction model was created with the equation of LogHC5 = 0.147 pH + 0.067 OC -1.616. The field test properly validated the prediction model, demonstrating its ability to forecast Cd toxicity levels for various soil conditions. This study offers a scientifically sound methodology for determining the environmental risk limitation for Cd and identifies critical paths for the preservation of environmental species.