Environmental Conditions Associated with Long-Track Tornadoes

Abstract

Abstract Reanalysis proximity vertical profile attributes associated with long-track tornadoes [LTTs; pathlength ≥48 km (30 mi)] and short-track tornadoes [STTs; pathlengths <48 km (30 mi)] for a total of 48 212 tornadoes with pathlengths ≥0.16 km (0.1 mi) from 1979–2022 in the United States were examined. Both longer- and shorter-track tornadoes were associated with vast ranges of mixed-layer convective available potential energy, together with relatively low mixed-layer lifted condensation level heights and minimal convective inhibition. A large range of 500–9000-m wind speeds and bulk wind differences, 500–3000-m streamwise vorticities, storm-relative helicities, and storm-relative wind speeds were found for STTs. In stark contrast, LTTs only occurred when these kinematic attributes were larger in amplitude through the troposphere, supporting previously documented associations between observed longer-track tornado pathlengths and faster-propagating parent storms. A novel parameter, heavily weighted by kinematic parameters and lightly weighted by thermodynamic parameters, outperformed the significant tornado parameter in differentiating environments that were more supportive of both LTTs as well as tornadoes rated <EF5. The high correlation values R2 = 0.79 between tornado pathlength and Bunkers’ approximate tornado duration (pathlength / VBunkers) calls for improved understanding of mesocyclone periodicities, which impact tornado longevity, to improve tornado pathlength diagnoses and forecasts. Pragmatically, diagnosing LTT environments using vertical profile attributes, perhaps, is not so much a problem of determining when there might be higher expectations for LTTs, but rather a problem of when there might be lower expectations for LTTs, e.g., weaker kinematic attributes in the lower troposphere.