Environmental conditions, age, and senescence differentially influence survival and reproduction in the Storm Petrel

Abstract

Demographic parameters in wild populations are expected to be shaped by individual covariates and environmental variability. Thus, the understanding of the effects of age and/or environmental conditions on variability in vital rates is of special importance in ecological and evolutionary studies. Early age-related improvements in survival and reproduction and later declines due to senescence are expected, above all in long-lived species. Survival in these species is predicted to be a more conservative parameter than reproduction, thereby giving rise to less temporal variability. We studied age-dependent patterns of survival and breeding success in a long-lived seabird, the Mediterranean Storm Petrel Hydrobates pelagicus melitensis, and the additive influence of individual heterogeneity and environmental climatic variables using 22 years of individual-based data (1993–2014). The North Atlantic Oscillation index (NAO) and sea surface temperature (SST) were selected as proxies of environmental conditions in both breeding and wintering areas. Our results show that vital rates improved with age for both survival and breeding success. A slow effect of senescence at older ages was detected for breeding success, whereas models did not disentangle the occurrence or the absence of actuarial senescence. Reproduction was also influenced by the age of first observed reproduction: at the same age, more experienced birds that recruited earlier had a higher breeding success than less experienced ones. Breeding success (but not survival) also showed great temporal variability in accordance with theoretical predictions. Neither the NAO nor the SST explained this variability, probably because petrels feed on lower trophic levels than most pelagic seabirds and other physical features such as river runoffs and winds may be involved, as well as other environmental stressors such as predation by sympatric gulls.