Entropy programming modeling of IBNR claims reserves

Abstract

The key focus of the paper is the introduction of a new deterministic approach to outstanding claims reserving in general insurance. The goals are to present a class of entropy programming models for determining claims reserves estimates; to justify popular simple techniques like the chain ladder technique and the separation method; to establish close connection of entropy programming models with log-linear models, maximum likelihood estimates; and to suggest new methods in the entropy programming framework.