Abstract
BackgroundPost-stroke dysphagia (PSD) is a common complication after stroke. Early PSD prediction is essential for patient stratification for intensive oral intake rehabilitation. We aimed to develop a PSD prediction score using clinical data obtained at admission. MethodsWe examined consecutive patients with acute ischemic stroke between 2018 and 2019. The dysphagia status 14 days after admission was assessed using the Functional Oral Intake Scale (FOIS). PSD was defined as FOIS 1–3, which represents tube-dependent nutrition. Using multivariable logistic regression analysis, we constructed the Enteral tube Nutrition for Geriatric post-stroke dysphagia Evaluation (ENGE) score. The discriminative performance of the ENGE score was analyzed by receiver operating curve analysis. The reproducibility of the ENGE score was validated using patient data in 2020. ResultsPSD developed in 84 of 488 patients (median age 78 years; 57% males). The ENGE score ranged from 0 to 6, with 1 point assigned for older age (≥78 years), 1 for high premorbid modified Rankin Scale (mRS) (≥1), 3 for high NIHSS score (≥12), and 1 for low serum albumin (<3.0 mg/dl). The area under the curve (AUC) of the ENGE score for discriminating PSD was 0.88 (95% confidence interval [CI] 0.83–0.92), and a score of 3 or more had a higher positive likelihood ratio. In the validation cohort, the AUC of the ENGE score for PSD was 0.85 (95% CI 0.78–0.91), which was similar to the derivation cohort (p = 0.491). ConclusionsThe ENGE score predicts severe PSD after acute ischemic stroke with good reproducibility.
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