Ensemble hybrid machine learning methods for gully erosion susceptibility mapping: K-fold cross validation approach

Abstract

Gully erosion is one of the important problems creating barrier to agricultural development. The present research used the radial basis function neural network (RBFnn) and its ensemble with random sub-space (RSS) and rotation forest (RTF) ensemble Meta classifiers for the spatial mapping of gully erosion susceptibility (GES) in Hinglo river basin. 120 gullies were marked and grouped into four-fold. A total of 23 factors including topographical, hydrological, lithological, and soil physio-chemical properties were effectively used. GES maps were built by RBFnn, RSS-RBFnn, and RTF-RBFnn models. The very high susceptibility zone of RBFnn, RTF-RBFnn and RSS-RBFnn models covered 6.75%, 6.72% and 6.57% in Fold-1, 6.21%, 6.10% and 6.09% in Fold-2, 6.26%, 6.13% and 6.05% in Fold-3 and 7%, 6.975% and 6.42% in Fold-4 of the basin. Receiver operating characteristics (ROC) curve and statistical techniques such as mean-absolute-error (MAE), root-mean-absolute-error (RMSE) and relative gully density area (R-index) methods were used for evaluating the GES maps. The results of the ROC, MAE, RMSE and R-index methods showed that the models of susceptibility to gully erosion have excellent predictive efficiency. The simulation results based on machine learning are satisfactory and outstanding and could be used to forecast the areas vulnerable to gully erosion.