Abstract

Integrated care programs (ICPs) are meant to make Medicare and Medicaid coverage for dual-eligible beneficiaries work more seamlessly. Evidence is limited on ICP enrollment trends and the characteristics of dual-eligible beneficiaries who enroll in these programs-specifically, the Program of All-Inclusive Care for the Elderly, Medicare Advantage (MA) Fully Integrated Dual-Eligible Special Needs Plans, and state demonstration Medicare-Medicaid plans. Using national data, we evaluated changes in ICP enrollment between 2013 and 2020 and compared the demographic characteristics of beneficiaries in these programs relative to the characteristics of beneficiaries not in them. The proportion of dual-eligible beneficiaries in ICPs increased from 2.0percent in 2013 to 9.4percent in 2020. However, nonintegrated or partially integrated coordination-only MA plans experienced the plurality of growth in enrollment of dual-eligible beneficiaries. Relative to non-ICP fee-for-service Medicare, beneficiaries in ICPs were more likely to be Black and Hispanic versus White and were less likely to be rural, younger, or disabled. Policy makers should diligently monitor growth in ICPs and less integrated dual-eligible plans in MA while also evaluating their impact on equity, spending, and quality of care.

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