Abstract

Usually the improvements of human performance in the course of ship design process is carried out by modifying local ergonomics, like electronic visualisation and information display systems on the bridge or in the engine control room, stair or hatch covers design. However, the effect of global design factors (GDFs), such as ship motion, whole body vibration and noise, on human performance has not been given attention before. Such knowledge would allow the improvements of human performance by effective design modification on very early stage of ship design process.Therefore, in this paper we introduce probabilistic models linking the effect of GDFs with the human performance suitable for ship design process. As a theoretical basis for modelling human performance the concept of Attention Management is utilized, which combines the theories described by Dynamic Adaptability Model, Cognitive Control Model and Malleable Attentional Resources Theory.Since the analysed field is characterised by a high degree of uncertainty, we adopt a specific modelling technique along with a validation framework that allows uncertainty treatment and helps the potential end-users to gain confidence in the models and the results that they yield. The proposed models are developed with the use Bayesian Belief Networks, which allows systematic translation of the available background knowledge into a coherent network and the uncertainty assessment and treatment.The obtained results are promising as the models are responsive to changes in the GDF nodes as expected. The models may be used as intended by naval architects and vessel designers, to facilitate risk-based ship design.

Highlights

  • Reduced human performance is reported as one of major factors contributing to the maritime accidents, [1,2,3,4]

  • To describe the process through which exposure to global design factors (GDFs) causally affects the performance of a crew member in relation to specific operations a causal pathway was developed through the mediating agent of the crewmember

  • This node represents the performance of navigation tasks critical in collision or grounding avoidance and provides a structure compatible with the introduction of a nuclear action reliability assessment (NARA) generic task types (GTT), potentially affected by Error Producing Conditions (EPC) No 15 via ‘Attention Management Capability’ and GDF Physical effects This node represents the communication of vessel manoeuvring instructions critical in collision or grounding avoidance with a helmsman present and introduction of a NARA GTT, potentially affected by EPC No 15 via ‘Attention Management Capability’

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Summary

Introduction

Reduced human performance is reported as one of major factors contributing to the maritime accidents, [1,2,3,4]. As a results of extensive literature survey on the effects of human exposure to the following three GDFs: ship motion, noise and vibration see [24,25,26] a workable approach has emerged for modelling human performance focussing on attention management, which is found suitable for the given purpose. It is based on three theories: the Dynamic Adaptability Model, [29] Cognitive Control Model [30] and Malleable Attentional Resources Theory [31].

Structure of the models
Modelling framework
Linking the effects of GDFs with human performance
Background knowledge related to human performance affected by the GDFs
Aggregation of the background knowledge into a model
Quantification of the GDFs and their effect on human capabilities
Quantification of the human behaviour in the presence of GDFs
Uncertainty assessment and treatment
Validation of the models
Translation validity
Criterion related validity
Conclusion
Findings
Performed D1 Not Performed
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