Enhancing flood verification using Signal Detection Theory (SDT) and IoT Sensors: A spatial scale evaluation

Abstract

Inundation mapping by flood simulation is subject to uncertainties which spatial accuracy assessment could not be processed as normal mapping does. This paper presents a comprehensive study on the spatial accuracy of flood verification using Internet of Things (IoT) sensors in several flood-prone regions in Taiwan, including Changhua, Yunlin, Chiayi, Tainan, Kaohsiung, and Pingtung, during three storm events in 2021. The study adopts Signal Detection Theory (SDT) and proposes an ensemble-based approach that combines multiple evaluation metrics to enhance the accuracy and reliability of flood verification in these regions. The study examines the inundation availabilities between flood observation from IoT sensors and flood simulation. A range of spatial scales varies from 100 m to 1000 m and also administrative divisions are considered including neighborhood-level and village-level scales. The results show that increasing the spatial scale generally leads to higher True Positives, indicating improved flood detection, but it also results in increased False Positives, indicating more misclassification of non-flooded points. The findings reveal that the optimal spatial scale for all cities/counties is 450 m which indicates the averaged spatial accuracy of the flood simulation. However, there is notable variation in the optimal spatial scale across different regions. The ensemble approach demonstrates high consistency in determining the optimal spatial scale, as eight out of ten metrics consistently identify the same value. Additionally, the study compares flood verification across administrative divisions in Taiwan, finding that the village-level spatial scale performs best in Changhua and Yunlin counties, while the neighborhood-level scale is preferred in Tainan, Kaohsiung, and Pingtung. This research provides a valuable framework to estimate inundation mapping accuracy under flood verification using IoT sensors in the specified region of Taiwan and highlights the importance of considering local conditions and administrative divisions in determining the optimal spatial scale. These findings can contribute to the improvement of flood detection and monitoring systems in the area with IoT flood sensors.