Abstract

Patients with metastatic intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma (M1-iCCA) have a poor prognosis with a 5-year survival rate of less than 20%. Definitive doses of radiation therapy (RT) after upfront chemotherapy (chemo/RT) in this patient population have shown to prolong survival by reducing the risk of tumor-related liver failure compared to chemotherapy alone. Our group has also identified a baseline radiographic feature, the arterial enhancement pattern, which has pathological and prognostic associations for iCCA. We tested the hypothesis that baseline arterial enhancement is independently associated with survival outcomes for patients who receive chemo/RT or chemo alone. Patients with M1-iCCA from 2010 to 2021 were included in this retrospective study. Patients were grouped into those who underwent chemo alone and those who underwent chemo/RT. The inclusion criteria included confirmed diagnosis of M1-iCCA, availability of baseline multi-phasic computed tomography (CT), and follow-up for at least six months or until death. Tumor arterial enhancement patterns were categorized as previously described into hypovascular or hypervascular, where the tumors that were hypervascular had either peripheral enhancement or central enhancement.Mean tumor density in Hounsfield units was recorded for each patient. Survival was estimated using the Kaplan Meier method, and Cox proportional models were used to adjust for prognostic variables. A total of 281 patients with iCCA were identified and 229 had evaluable CT scans. Demographic and baseline characteristics of patient groups are shown in the Table. On univariate analysis, patient age, ECOG performance status (PS) at diagnosis, treatment type, and arterial enhancement patterns associated with overall survival (OS). On multivariable analysis, the arterial enhancement pattern independently associated with OS after accounting for covariates. Patients with hypervascular tumors had prolonged OS compared to those with hypovascular tumors (HR = 0.72, [0.54 - 0.96], p = 0.02). Prolonged OS was also observed in the chemo/RT group compared to the chemo alone group (HR = 0.37, [0.25-0.54], p< 0.0001). Baseline enhancement patterns of M1-iCCA were prognostic in the contexts of chemo alone and chemo/RT.This imaging-based biomarker may improve the ability to stratify patients for therapeutic management.

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