Enhanced Occurrence of Atmospheric Blocking in the Southern Hemisphere by Baroclinic Annular Mode

Abstract

AbstractAtmospheric blocking is a large‐amplitude, quasi‐stationary, and long‐lasting flow regime in the extratropics. To understand the physical processes governing the occurrence of atmospheric blocking, we identify that the positive phase of Baroclinic Annular Mode (BAM) increases the occurrence of blocking events in the Southern Hemisphere atmosphere. As BAM can translate to regional scales, we identify an enhanced zonal flux of wave activity and reduced dispersiveness associated with high BAM states that are dynamically conducive to the occurrence of atmospheric blocking. Blocking frequency in the high BAM state almost doubles as compared to the climatology, and the enhanced occurrence of blocks is most significant within BAM‐associated wave packets. This finding suggests BAM can be employed as a new source of predictability for atmospheric blocking.