Enhanced classification and regression tree (CART) by genetic algorithm (GA) and grid search (GS) for flood susceptibility mapping and assessment

Abstract

Despite the high level of interpretability of the Classification and Regression Tree (CART) as one of the widely-used data mining models, its results usually are less accurate than other models. To address the low accuracy of the CART model, this paper developed two new and enhanced CART-based algorithms that can provide both high interpretability and high accuracy for flood susceptibility mapping. In the developed models, various hyperparameters of the CART were explicitly tuned using the genetic algorithm (GA) and grid search (GS) methods. Eleven variables and 222 flood locations were used in Sardabroud watershed in Iran for modelling. The results showed area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC) values of 0.884, 0.927 and 0.908, respectively, for the CART, CART-GS and CART-GA models in the validation run. The results showed that the developed models can produce the output that satisfies both accuracy and interpretability criteria.