Abstract

This paper investigates the calendar anomalies in Karachi Stock Exchange (KSE) of Pakistan, during 2002-04 periods. The data for this study was taken from KSE 100, involving the daily stock exchange and were tested for turn of the month and time of the month effects. The results, regarding mean returns showed the presence of both effects. Results after regression analysis didn’t show the presence of Turn of the Month (TOM) effect in KSE. Slight evidence was witnessed regarding the time of the month effect in KSE, which confirmed the presence of anomalies and proved the market inefficiency. Limitations to this study are the time period, which was short. Future studies may consider a longer period of time for testing KSE, regarding the calendar anomalies.    Key words: Turn of the Month (TOM), Karachi Stock Exchange (KSE), Calendar Anomalies, Pakistan, KSE-100 index, Investor’s psychology in Pakistan.  

Highlights

  • Efficient market hypothesis postulates that all information should be correctly reflected in the prices of securities and if the markets are efficient abnormal profits are not possible

  • The difference was witnessed among the mean returns for TOM and Rest of the Month (ROM) period

  • The primary objective of the study was to check for existence of efficiency of Karachi Stock exchange (KSE), by studying it for the existence of anomalies

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Summary

Introduction

Efficient market hypothesis postulates that all information should be correctly reflected in the prices of securities and if the markets are efficient abnormal profits are not possible. Prices of securities cannot be predicted as they follow random walk pattern (Malkiel, 2003). Refers to any deviation from efficient market hypothesis. Calendar anomalies refer to the existence of any irregularities, fluctuations, or the specific pattern, occurring in a recurring manner during a definite time within a year. These types of anomalies prove out to be a severe threat to the market efficiency as the patterns become predictable making the abnormal profits possible

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