Abstract

The most widespread approach to transport appraisal is to combine cost-benefit analysis (CBA) with environmental assessments and public consultations. However, large-scale transport projects such as the HS2 high-speed rail system in the UK seem to have pushed this approach beyond its limits, leading to broad discontent with the appraisal process. There is a need both to develop new methods capable of integrating a wide range of perspectives in a systematic manner and to test these for large-scale projects. Multicriteria analysis (MCA) has proven useful in supporting transport decision-making by including a broader set of criteria in the appraisal process. Multiactor multicriteria analysis (MAMCA) has extended this approach to include multiple actors and stakeholders in the judgment and decision-making process. This paper builds on the MAMCA method and demonstrates its practicability and usability by applying it to the case of HS2. The purpose of this paper is not to reach a definitive conclusion on the desirability of various project options, but to complement existing transport appraisal methods by making different perspectives explicit. For example, the results for this case show contrasting views for different groups of transport professionals: a favorable assessment of HS2 among transport planners employed in government, but an unfavorable assessment among transport researchers with a background in sustainability. In terms of contribution to the development of data collection methods, this research demonstrates the usefulness of conducting semistructured interviews in conjunction with an online questionnaire for the assessment and weighting process within MCA. Because MCA results are expressed in terms of relative desirability of projects, the approach also effectively systematizes the inclusion and assessment of multiple options. Overall, the proposed method enhances the capacity to analyze conflicting views in large-scale transport project appraisal processes.

Highlights

  • Decisions to invest in large-scale infrastructure projects such as high-speed rail (HSR) typically extend beyond traditional economic evaluation using cost-benefit analysis (CBA) to include factors such as wider economic effects, regional development, long-term environmental impacts, strategic growth of certain industries, and even issues of national pride

  • Given the many other important areas of response elicitation in the appraisal process, along with a desire to make sure the total time commitment did not go beyond 1-1.5 hours, it was decided to forgo requiring fully consistent performance assessments before moving on

  • In terms of journey experience, one respondent assessed HS2 as outperforming both the M1 alignment and the WMCL upgrade, yet assessed the West Coast Main Line (WCML) upgrade as underperforming the M1 alignment

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Summary

Introduction

Decisions to invest in large-scale infrastructure projects such as high-speed rail (HSR) typically extend beyond traditional economic evaluation using cost-benefit analysis (CBA) to include factors such as wider economic effects, regional development, long-term environmental impacts, strategic growth of certain industries, and even issues of national pride. The strategic goals may even take precedence over the results of conventional economic analysis [1]. Such factors are not generally compared or weighed in a systematic manner [2, 3]. There is a need both to develop methods capable of integrating a wide range of perspectives in a systematic manner and to test these for large-scale projects

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