Energy Needs and Trends Assessment for the Urban Commune of N’zérékoré, Republic of Guinea

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Nowadays, one of the major problems facing large cities is the adaptation of energy needs with their rapid demographic growth. In most cases, there is a disconnect between the rapid demographic increases and the updating of energy needs. The major cities of the Republic of Guinea are confronted to a significant challenge due to insufficient energy supply for their sustainable development, and the urban commune of N’zérékoré is a clear example of this. The city is experiencing substantial rapid demographic growth, which requires a long-term assessment of its energy needs for its sustainable development. In this paper, a model for projecting energy demand over 10 years for the urban commune of N'zérékoré taking into account its demographic evolution was developed. An estimate of energy needs was made based on the projected population growth from 2024 to 2060. The results show that the urban commune's current energy consumption is estimated at 53.89 MW, or 38.8 GWh per month, while the projected energy demand for the same year amounts to 51.6 GWh. Population growth continuously drives a strong increase in energy demand, if production remains unchanged, by 2060 the commune’s energy need would reach 1,595.16 GWh, resulting in a deficit of 1,543.56 GWh.