Abstract
Greenhouse energy modeling is a prevalent tool for optimizing greenhouse energy consumption. However, for a model to serve its intended use, it is imperative to have a high level of confidence in the precision of its predictions. In this paper, a validated greenhouse energy model for a typical small-scale greenhouse in a cold climate is developed. The model is created using TRNSYS, a building performance simulation tool, with detailed energy modeling components and a user-defined crop model. The model is calibrated to fix uncertain parameters. A sensitivity analysis is used first to identify sensible uncertain parameters, followed by a multi-stage automated calibration. The automated calibration method uses a multi-objective genetic algorithm to adjust the uncertain parameters, calibrating the model for the measured indoor air temperature and relative humidity. The model performed well during the free-floating and ventilated stages (56 days) with a combined root mean square error (RMSE) of 1.6 °C for indoor air temperature and 8.3 % for the air relative humidity. The validation process involved assessing the applicability of the calibrated model using two additional datasets. For all the cases, comparing the simulation results with indoor environment measurements resulted in an RMSE of less than 2 °C for air temperature and less than 10 % for air relative humidity; these values compare favorably to the literature. The model achieved a 3.7 % mean relative error (MRE) in estimating monthly energy consumption for a minimally heated greenhouse. Given these results, the model is deemed sufficiently accurate and applicable for future investigations.
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