Abstract
In this paper, energy consumption sector is divided into final energy consumption sector and transformation sector, where final energy consumption sector is divided into six sub-sectors, namely, primary industry sector, industry sector, construction sector, transport sector, service and commerce sector and household sector. Particularly, as a case of urban transport, this paper simulates two scenarios: baseline plan and high plan, and respectively sets three sub-scenarios, namely, developing public transport scenario, fuel replacement scenario and improving vehicle fuel efficiency scenario. LEAP model is used to analyze energy demand and environmental emissions in Beijing till 2025.
Highlights
Beijing is the capital of China, which has large energy consumption
Mixed energy model involve a broad range of technology, and there must be a large number of professional researchers and adequate time to complete the complicated project, such as NEMS model [3]
To further study energy consumption in the industry sector and taking into account the rapid development of equipment manufactures, this paper focuses on high energy consumption sectors and equipment manufactures with relatively higher energy consumption in the industry sector
Summary
Beijing is the capital of China, which has large energy consumption. It is a city with scarce energy resources and has high dependence on the external. There are many complete energy models internationally. Top-down energy model reflects viable technology, but underestimates the potential technological progress [1], such as CGE model [2]. Mixed energy model involve a broad range of technology, and there must be a large number of professional researchers and adequate time to complete the complicated project, such as NEMS model [3]. Bottom-up energy model includes LEAP model [4] and so on. LEAP model is used to study energy demand and environmental emissions in Beijing. The remainder of this paper is organized as follows: the second part describes the sector classification, the third part presents the methodology and scenarios settings; the fourth part is the results of the scenario analysis; and the fifth part outlines the conclusions
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